POLITICAL ILLUSION
IN POLITICS, THINGS ARE NEVER WHAT THEY APPEAR TO BE ... OFFERING AN ALTERNATIVE REALITY TO THE LIBERAL-DOMINATED MEDIA
Translate
Friday, October 09, 2026
Thursday, October 08, 2026
Rubio Warns Western Decline is a Consequence of the Left's Self-Hatred
Lowman Henry: A reminder — it’s still the economy, stupid
In 1992, James Carville, a top strategist in the presidential campaign of Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton, coined the phrase “It’s the economy, stupid.” That short sentence summed up the macro winds of that election year and has since become one of the most oft-repeated political phrases — and for good reason.
Except in times of war or other external threats, the economy is the top concern of the American electorate. Issues such as that over constructing a White House ballroom are merely a sideshow to the economic well-being of the average voter.
President George H.W. Bush initially saw his popularity soar to record heights after leading a coalition of nations in the Persian Gulf War against Iraq. At home, however, the economy stalled. As election day approached, voters viewed Bush as being more concerned with foreign affairs than kitchen table economics. His popularity plummeted. Clinton heeded Carville’s advice, focused on the economy, and defeated the incumbent president.
Fast forward to 2024, and the nation was reeling from hyperinflation, high energy prices, and saddled with the cost of dealing with a massive influx of illegal immigrants flooding over the southern border. Polls consistently showed the economy and immigration to be voters’ top concerns. After replacing the incoherent Biden atop the Democrat ticket, Vice President Kamala Harris could not articulate any change in direction, resulting in the election of Donald Trump.
With the 2026 mid-term elections just weeks away, the economy once again has emerged as the top issue. The Trump Administration has dealt successfully with the immigration crisis, effectively stopping the flow of illegal immigration. Despite the Left’s preoccupation with the administration’s aggressive removal of illegals, the issue has receded into the background.
Like Bush, Donald Trump has become embroiled in a Middle East conflict. The difference is President Trump has simultaneously focused on reshoring manufacturing with significant high-profile wins such as the recent announcement heralding the investment of $15 billion to build a new steel plant in Iowa. Over the past two years, such investment announcements have become almost routine.
While Trump has been winning the macroeconomic battle — most statistical measures of economic performance are relatively good — he is losing at the kitchen table. The economic statistic most people see is not the current GDP or even the Consumer Price Index — it is the cost of a gallon of gasoline posted on signs along every highway.
That high prices are a result of the 21.4% cumulative inflation during the Biden presidency is lost because current inflation builds upon that, pushing prices ever higher. The conflict with Iran has prevented the inflation rate from falling, as disruption in the global oil supply has sent gasoline prices back to Biden-era levels.
Trump and Republicans in Congress have made substantial strides in helping the family bottom line. Passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, renamed the Working Families Tax Cut Act, has resulted in considerable tax savings. It expanded deductions, increased the standard deduction, enhanced the Child Tax Credit, and provided tax credits resulting in no taxes on tips, overtime, or Social Security income.
But the higher cost of energy and resulting inflation has offset those economic gains. Preventing a tax hike is mostly invisible, and while significant, simply preserves the status quo. This has diluted the political benefit for Trump and Republican congressional candidates.
President Ronald Reagan defeated incumbent President Jimmy Carter in 1980 due to Carter’s economic “malaise.” Reagan set about implementing the policies needed to turn the economy around. But the U.S. economy is like a giant ocean liner — it takes time for it to reverse course. Reagan’s policies did not have time to take full effect before voters went to the polls in the 1982 midterms, and the GOP suffered significant congressional losses.
This year, Trump and congressional Republicans are fighting the historical tendency for the party of the president to lose seats in the following midterm elections. And, like Reagan, Trump is putting into place the policies that will eventually result in a booming economy. As in the 1980s, such a turnaround will take time. And the GOP has been off message for months given the military conflict with Iran.
Unlike 1982, aggressive gerrymandering has resulted in few true battleground congressional districts. Republicans hold slim majorities in both the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives; thus, a large shift is both unlikely and not necessary to flip party control.
In the remaining days of the campaign, the party that messages most effectively on affordability issues will secure a congressional majority. Trump and Republicans should heed Carville’s sage advice and focus on one issue only: It’s the economy, stupid.
Lowman S. Henry is Chairman & CEO of the Lincoln Institute and host of the weekly Lincoln Radio Journal and American Radio Journal. His e-mail address is lhenry@lincolninstitute.org.
Wednesday, October 07, 2026
Watergate Had Burglars. Biden Had the FBI.
When Did Obesity Become a Drug Deficiency?
How Long Before They Deem You Euthanasia-Worthy?
AFT Dues Funded Left-Wing Infrastructure, From the Center for American Progress to the Clinton Foundation
Monday, October 05, 2026
A Blind Judge
China Controls a Crucial Piece of the US AI Pipeline
Report: Americans Will Pay $350K for Socialist Policies
Saturday, October 03, 2026
Look: Grok AI Leaves Only 1 Out of 40 Standing When Asked to 'Remove the Fake Gods' from Image
Toward A Better America
Friday, October 02, 2026
Thursday, October 01, 2026
Breaking: Trump Economy Notches Win as US Jobless Numbers Plummet to Half-Century Low Last Seen in 1969
The Politics Of Panic
We Cannot Trust the CDC Estimates of Flu Vaccine Effectiveness
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
'A Little Ironic': Vance Calls Out Democrats Over Medicare Fraud
China And The Return Of The 'Evil Empire’
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: Shocking Senate Report Details Billions in Health Care Fraud Lost to Russian Fraudsters, Medicare Scammers, Other Schemers
Monday, September 28, 2026
When Local Bureaucracy Pays Better Than the Oval Office: Fairfax County's Salary Problem
Sunday, September 27, 2026
They want to get rid of Trump by any means possible
The left is becoming increasingly violent in its desires vis-Ã -vis President Trump—and that, after Butler, is no joke.
Saturday, September 26, 2026
I’m looking through you; you’re not the same
Trump Slashes Over $800M in Government Funding Earmarked for Illegal Immigrants: Report
Pennsylvanians Reject Shapiro Administration’s Proposed Department of Health Regulations Prompting Withdrawal
Friday, September 25, 2026
Republicans Cannot Afford To Be Purists About Voting In The Midterms
Thursday, September 24, 2026
China is why America must win the AI race
AI safety and the geopolitical AI race are often discussed as if they were separate issues. They are not.
COVID Response: Do We Really Want To Go Back To That?
After the lockdowns, what did the government teach me about government power?
When Democrats Tell You Who They Are, Believe Them
Many of the Democrats running this year aren’t the usual squishy socialists we’re used to. They are people who hate Americans, the U.S., and the Constitution.
Wednesday, September 23, 2026
Lowman Henry: The Fetterman Show upstages Josh Shapiro
As the days get longer and pumpkin spice takes over the known universe, the General Election season is in high gear, headed toward its early November showdown. Every four years, voters in Pennsylvania elect a governor. Especially in a year when a U.S. Senate seat is not up for grabs, the gubernatorial campaign and its candidates command the spotlight.
But that isn’t happening this year.
Gov. Josh Shapiro, continuing his inexorable journey from womb to White House, is seeking re-election. His campaign has less to do with winning another four years to occupy the mansion on the Susquehanna than it does with positioning himself in a crowded Democrat Primary race filled with candidates who are better known nationwide.
The Shapiro Administration recently unveiled proposed health department regulations so draconian even Anthony Fauci would blush. The proposed regulations run afoul of two state constitutional amendments overwhelmingly approved by voters to rein in former Gov. Tom Wolf’s COVID-19 overreach.
Shapiro is also proposing to rename “pregnant woman” as “pregnant individual” and mother of a newborn as a “postpartum individual.” The ideologically driven changes in terminology are designed to appeal to his party’s left-wing base.
The governor has likewise flip-flopped on the issue of data centers, abandoning his previous steps to lure such facilities to the commonwealth and issuing an executive order that basically encourages data center developers to take the high-paying jobs and billions in property tax payments to Ohio and other states.
Shapiro is on the wrong side of his party’s divide over support for Israel. The governor is Jewish and thus has rejected calls from radicals within his party to end military and other aid to Israel. Support for Palestinian terrorists is a litmus test for Democrat presidential candidates, and it is a test Shapiro cannot pass.
A high-profile re-election campaign would typically be just the platform for Shapiro’s attempt to position himself as a serious contender for the 2028 Democratic Presidential nomination – but he has been upstaged by U.S. Senator John Fetterman.
Fetterman has emerged as something of a national phenomenon by being, well, rational. He has rejected the wacky Democratic-Socialist wing of his party speaking out against its candidates. A stout defender of Israel, Fetterman has also departed from Democrat orthodoxy on illegal immigration and other issues. He has especially raised Democrat ire by refusing to engage in Donald Trump bashing and even — gasp — had dinner with the president.
The cherry on top of the sundae came during the recent Republican mid-term convention when Fetterman made a video appearance introducing and praising his Republican counterpart, U.S. Senator Dave McCormick. Standing in front of a U.S. Steel plant, Fetterman talked about how he and McCormick work together on issues that benefit Pennsylvania.
Senators of opposing parties working together for the benefit of their state is nothing new, but in today’s hyper-partisan environment it is grounds for excommunication. The left-wing media has denounced him, and candidates are lining up to challenge him in the 2028 primary.
Fetterman appears not to care. He is a regular on Fox News and — clad in his signature gym shorts and hoodie – has become one of the most recognizable members of the U.S. Senate.
Thus, Fetterman — whose disdain for Josh Shapiro is well known — has stolen the spotlight from the governor. And while that surely irritates the governor, it may actually be in his best interest.
That is because Shapiro has spent the last few months shooting himself in the foot. His disdain for anything Trump-related caused him to jilt Pennsylvania’s booth at the Great American State Fair in Washington, D.C. He claimed he couldn’t get any sponsors. But, over the course of one weekend, Senators McCormick and Fetterman put together the state’s display — which went on to be named best in the show.
Then, in his haste to attack U.S. Secretary of Health Robert F. Kennedy Jr., he called a news conference putting out misleading information related to two deaths in Lancaster County, falsely attributing them to the measles outbreak. Again, his ambition ran ahead of the facts.
The problem for Republicans is the Fetterman sideshow is also taking the spotlight from state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, who is fighting to unseat Shapiro in the upcoming November election.
Fetterman will continue being Fetterman, and so the sideshow will continue. And the candidates will continue lining up to challenge him in the 2028 primary. They will embrace the Democratic socialists claiming to be the “big tent” party. But the tent is not big enough to include a senator who votes with them 90% of the time.
Josh Shapiro should take note.
Lowman S. Henry is Chairman & CEO of the Lincoln Institute and host of the weekly Lincoln Radio Journal and American Radio Journal. His e-mail address is lhenry@lincolninstitute.org.























