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Thursday, September 23, 2010

Franklin & Marshall College Poll: Incumbent Dems in trouble

G. Terry Madonna has released a new Franklin and Marshall College Poll focusing on voters in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District, primarily Bucks County, and Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, primarily Erie. Both incumbent Democrats are trailing their GOP challengers, according to the polls.

Here are the key findings:
· In the 8th congressional district, Mike Fitzpatrick has an advantage over incumbent Patrick Murphy among all registered adults, 46% to 36%, with about one in five (17%) adults still undecided. Fitzpatrick’s advantage is larger among those more likely to vote, 49% to 35%, with 15% undecided. The survey finds that Fitzpatrick’s advantage increases as the likely voter screen becomes more restrictive.

· Two in five (41%) registered adults in the district rate Representative Murphy’s job performance as “excellent” or “good.” About the same proportion (40%) believe he deserves re-election while almost half (47%) believes it is time for a change.

· In the PA senate race, Pat Toomey leads Joe Sestak in the district among all registered adults, 39% to 30%, and among likely voters, 42% to 32%. In the gubernatorial race, Tom Corbett leads Dan Onorato among registered adults, 37% to 29%, and among likely voters, 40% to 30%. Many registered adults in the 8th CD are still undecided about their choices for US senate (30%) and governor (34%).

· Unemployment and the economy (57%) are the primary issues facing respondents and their families in the district.

· The positive job performance rating for President Obama (37%) is low in the district, but is similar to his overall state-wide ratings. Governor Rendell's positive job performance rating (46%) is higher than the president’s in the district and is also higher than his overall state-wide rating.
Read the full poll results here.

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