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Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Obama numbers in PA don't add up

Shortly before 9 p.m., The Associated Press projected Barack Obama as the winner in Pennsylvania based on exit polls and less than 8 percent of the state's precincts reporting.

The AP says Obama is winning Pennsylvania by a 65% to 34% margin over John McCain. Does that make any sense to anyone? The most generous polls had Obama ahead by 10% in Pennsylvania, which John Kerry won by just 2% over George W. Bush in 2004.

Something doesn't add up. How could Obama win the state by a nearly 2-1 margin? Unless the AP sampling comes from Philadelphia alone.

Here's something else that's strange. In Michigan, the most recent numbers have McCain ahead of Obama by a 51% to 48% margin, but the AP is calling Obama the winner there.

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