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Wednesday, August 07, 2024

Kamala Up? What Do the Polls Really Say?

Kamala Up? What Do the Polls Really Say?: This is an interesting situation.  As Kamala rises in the polls, the stock market declines.  Are the two linked?  Probably not, but who knows?

As of today, the Kamala bounce seems to be real.  A Morning Consult poll from early this month has Harris up by 4 over Trump.  This is a massive poll of 11,000+ registered voters, supposedly giving it more credibility.  But what would be more convincing would be a more targeted poll of likely voters.  One key takeaway from this poll is that Kamala’s popularity may have peaked at 50% and is now moving down.

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